This page is the current rigor layer for the public site. It defines what the registry does and does not prove, how to classify claims, where the strongest current discriminators sit, and which open problems must stay attached during any honest audit.
OpenTimestamps proves that a hashed file snapshot existed by a given time. It does not by itself prove that every claim inside that snapshot was an isolated, pre-release forecast. Claim-level prospectivity must be checked by verifying that the numerical threshold or wording predates the confirming data pull or release.
The displayed counts on the site are bookkeeping for the current registry state. They are not a substitute for claim-by-claim audit. Treat the registry ratio as a dashboard summary, not as the decisive scientific score.
live.html is an operational monitoring surface. It is useful for reproducibility and current-state checking, but it is not the same thing as a pre-registration ledger. For prospective status, always cross-check predictions.html, wins.html, and this audit page.
| Class | Meaning | How To Audit It |
|---|---|---|
| Prospective confirmed | A threshold or directional claim is registered before the confirming data is pulled or released. | Check the pre-data registry wording, then verify the outcome independently from the cited source. |
| Retrospective structural | An argument built after the fact from existing public data, but claimed to show a nontrivial geometric or field relation. | Judge the derivation quality and compare with standard-model alternatives. Do not count it as a pure forecast. |
| Supportive / nonunique | Consistent with the model, but also plausibly explained by standard physics. | Keep it as supporting context only. Do not treat it as a decisive discriminator by itself. |
| Pending / contested | A result depends on raw data access, unresolved instrumentation questions, or an unclosed loophole. | Carry the caveat forward. Do not cite it as closed until the dependency is removed. |
| Open refinement | The current model statement is incomplete, under revision, or presently favors a competing explanation. | Keep it visible. The strongest evidence case is stronger when open problems remain attached instead of being hidden. |
| Do not do this | Why |
|---|---|
| Do not quote archival prompt notes as if they are the canonical audit layer. | context.html is now explicitly archival. The canonical AI read path runs through ai_manifest.json, methodology.json, and the public registries. |
| Do not use the display ratio as the scientific score. | The current site treats the ratio as registry bookkeeping only. Claim class and derivation quality still matter. |
| Do not collapse supportive, pending, and prospective items into one denominator. | The current site already separates those buckets. Any audit that ignores the separation is auditing an older site state. |
| Do not turn an open refinement into a claim that the site is hiding the problem. | Open optics, SG, and cavity-mode gaps are already disclosed publicly. The honest question is whether they get resolved, not whether they exist. |
The current strongest southern-geometry evidence path is WIN-069 plus coordinates.html. It combines official geodetic admissions, the Nullarbor 1.00 control, and the Sydney–Perth excess. Audit it as the flagship geometry claim, not as proof that every coordinate issue is closed globally.
WIN-062 remains one of the clearest side-by-side derivation tests on the site. Audit it against the ECM diameter mapping and the globe diameter mapping directly, while still keeping the diameter derivation assumptions in view.
The strongest future discriminator is PRED-ECLIPSE-TIER3. A clean quiet-day superconducting gravimeter null at the predicted contact phases is explicitly carried as falsification of the eclipse κ-coupling claim.
WIN-068 establishes that an eclipse-linked magnetic effect exists at scale, but the site now treats it as supportive rather than decisive because an ionospheric competitor exists. Use it to anchor the phenomenon, not to end the argument.
| Problem | Current status | Implication for auditors |
|---|---|---|
| WIN-058 raw L1A coupling | Pending independent raw-data reproduction or Tier 3 eclipse confirmation. | Do not cite κ = 1.67 as fully closed. |
| WIN-013 / WIN-014 SG nulls | Explicitly logged as non-discriminating between the competing models. | They are no longer clean “wins” over the globe by themselves. |
| Eclipse optics | Full 3D ray-trace of sun, moon, and shadow under the published refraction field is not yet published. | Treat the eclipse optical geometry as incomplete until the ray-trace exists. |
| Schumann / Tesla cavity unification | Supportive pattern exists, but a full cavity-mode derivation is not yet closed on the site. | Use it as supportive structure, not as a standalone kill-shot. |
| Global coordinates | Australia is currently the strongest southern anchor; northern-only error metrics should not be cited globally. | Keep the geometry claim scoped to where the site has its best controls. |