Continuous data collection for real-time model testing. Each entry is a data point — patterns emerge within weeks. All predictions pre-registered in predictions.html. Tracking started 2026-03-23.
Fresh site summary generated from the canonical registry counts plus the latest live monitor snapshot. If GROQ_API_KEY is configured in GitHub Actions, the narrative summary is AI-written from the structured data; otherwise a deterministic local summary is used.
Review generated2026-04-21 07:06 UTC
Registry ratio94.5%
Monitor score100.0%
7d avg monitor score100.0%
Passed / scored28/28
Review enginelocal: deterministic-summary
Summary
Registry stands at 69 confirmed, 4 refined, and 10 prospective items. Latest monitor snapshot is 100.0% with 28 of 28 scored domains passing. The 7-day score trend is flat by 0.0 points. 112 days remain until the August 12, 2026 eclipse test.
Next Actions
Check pending domains first: Eclipse Magnetic Anomaly (Aug 12 2026), Current Kp Index, Schumann Amplitude Suppression.
Keep WIN-058 marked pending until independent raw L1A or Tier 3 closure arrives.
Prediction Focus
Strongest current live alignment: Crepuscular Ray Convergence.
Primary forward discriminator remains the Tier 3 eclipse protocol.
⚡ IMMEDIATE ACTION: Check HeartMath spectrogram for March 22 (G3 storm 0900–1200 UTC).
SR suppressed = PRED-SR-SUPPRESS confirmed (2nd event). Not suppressed = update DW-006 and revise model.
→ HeartMath GCI March 22
| Also check March 23 (G1 isolated, Kp 3–5).
DW-001 — Master Daily Geomagnetic + SR Log
Daily
One row per day. Captures all storm-relevant data in one place. SR columns need HeartMath or Tomsk check each morning. Kp and Dst from NOAA. Solar wind from OMNI2/DSCOVR.
Pull monthly from NOAA NP.xy. Add row each month. PRED-R003 target: 141–146°E by 2031.
DW-003 — Weekly AAO Index (Roaring 40s Long-Term Bias)
Weekly
Entries2
12wk mean— (insufficient data)
Dome predicts>+0.3σ 12wk mean
Globe predicts≈0 (random)
Week End
Weekly Mean (σ)
Days Positive
Days >1σ
Running 12wk Mean
Notes
2026-03-19
+0.780σ
8/7
—
— (insufficient)
W020 test window. Below ≥3% falsification threshold but positive bias noted.
2026-04-21
-0.368σ
3/7
—
— (insufficient)
Continue weekly. Source: CPC/NOAA AAO. Dome calls: 12wk mean >+0.3σ. Globe calls: ≈0.
DW-004 — Solar Wind Pressure vs SR Frequency (Quiet Days Kp<1)
Log on Kp<1 + SW>8 nPa days only
Separate from storm tracking. Tests whether dome firmament responds to solar wind pressure on calm days. Globe has no mechanism. Log only when Kp<1 AND SW pressure >8 nPa simultaneously.
Quiet-day entries0
SR baseline7.83 Hz
Dome predictsr²>0.3 at 50 entries
Date
SW Pressure (nPa)
Kp
SR Freq (Hz)
Δ from 7.83 Hz
Direction
Notes
Log ONLY on Kp<1 days with SW>8 nPa. Sources: OMNI2 (SW pressure) + Tomsk SR freq.
DW-005 — Monthly SAA Station Decay (TTB / TDC / HER)
Monthly (INTERMAGNET)
TTB current rate77 nT/yr (WIN-042)
TDC current rate79.7 nT/yr (WIN-041)
HER current rate51.4 nT/yr (WIN-041)
Dome predictsTTB+TDC ≥50 nT/yr through 2028
Month
TTB F (nT)
TDC F (nT)
HER F (nT)
TTB Monthly Δ
Annualized Rate
vs PRED-DECAY-TTB
2025 baseline
~21,730
~23,100
~25,400
—
~77 nT/yr
✓ (WIN-042)
Pull monthly from INTERMAGNET. TTB = Tsumeb Namibia. TDC = Trindade Island. HER = Hermanus S. Africa.
DW-006 — Running Storm-SR Suppression Tally
Per G1+ storm event
Storms logged4
Suppression confirmed1
Pending check2
Confirmed rate100% (of checked)
Dome predicts≥75% suppression
Falsification threshold5 consecutive NO
⚡ March 22 PENDING: G3 confirmed 0900–1200 UTC. Check HeartMath March 22 amplitude.
Suppression = PRED-SR-SUPPRESS confirmed (event 2). No suppression = update model.
Add row per G1+ event: date | class | kp_peak | phase_checked | suppression_pct | confirmed (Y/N) | source
DW-007 — Dst Index Tracking (Ring Current / Aetheric Compression)
Per storm event
Dst measures the strength of Earth’s ring current during geomagnetic storms. In ECM, this is the aetheric equatorial compression signature — the dome’s equatorial aether being displaced inward during field stress events. Predicts: deeper Dst events correlate with faster SAA decay in subsequent months (κ coupling). Category 1 data: ground magnetometer network, no model assumptions.
Storm events logged2
Deepest Dst this period<−100 nT (Mar 20)
ECM predictsDst recovery rate correlates with SAA decay acceleration
Globe predictsDst and SAA decay independent
Storm Date
Dst Min (nT)
Recovery Time (hrs)
Storm Class
SAA Month After
ECM Coupling?
Source
2026-03-20
<−100 (est.)
PENDING
G4
Check April INTERMAGNET
—
NOAA/EarthSky confirmed G4. Exact Dst: Kyoto WDC
2026-03-22
PENDING
PENDING
G3
Check April INTERMAGNET
—
Kyoto WDC
Pull Dst from Kyoto WDC after each storm. Log min Dst + recovery time. Compare SAA monthly delta the following month. Tests κ=1.67 nT/µGal coupling (WIN-012) at storm timescales.
How to Use These Logs
Daily (5 min): Check Tomsk SR amplitude + NOAA Kp. Add one row to DW-001. If Kp<1 and SW>8 nPa, also add to DW-004.
Per storm (immediate): Every G1+ event (Kp≥5) gets a DW-006 row within 24h. Check HeartMath. Log to DW-007 with Dst from Kyoto WDC.
Weekly: Pull CPC AAO index for the week. Add DW-003 row.
After each session with Claude: Paste new registry HTML into Claude Code and commit. Keeps timestamps honest.
All logs build the statistical case for or against ECM predictions. Every entry is a data point. Falsifications are as valuable as confirmations — they tell the model where it’s wrong.
