{
  "version": "V51.1",
  "last_updated": "2026-04-17",
  "purpose": "Curated machine-readable claim index for the strongest current registry items and open discriminators. Use claim_key for stable reference; the visible prose registry contains legacy duplicate labels.",
  "methodology_url": "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/api/current/methodology.json",
  "registry_integrity_notes": [
    {
      "visible_label": "WIN-058",
      "note": "Two different claims share this visible label in wins.html. The API disambiguates them as win-058-bedrock-kappa and win-058-theta-rule."
    },
    {
      "visible_label": "WIN-062",
      "note": "The registry contains two visible WIN-062 blocks that present the same Tesla 1.574c family. The API normalizes them to win-062-tesla-wave-speed."
    }
  ],
  "claims": [
    {
      "claim_key": "win-069-australia-scaffold",
      "visible_label": "WIN-069",
      "status": "confirmed",
      "claim_class": "retrospective_structural",
      "domain": "physical_geometry",
      "title": "Australia Road Scaffold Validation",
      "summary": "V13 two-zone topology predicts the Nullarbor 1.00 control while also predicting the Sydney-Perth excess and the broader Australia scaffold fit.",
      "why_it_matters": "This is the strongest current southern-geometry evidence path because it combines official datum admissions, direct transport controls, and a multi-link scaffold fit under the same locked lambda_g profile.",
      "current_best_entry": "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/wins.html#win-069",
      "supporting_pages": [
        "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/coordinates.html#australia-v13-scaffold",
        "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/model.html#southern-validation-australia",
        "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/killshot.html#killshot-southern-metric-expansion"
      ],
      "formula_ids": [
        "FORM-V51-001",
        "FORM-V51-002",
        "FORM-V51-003",
        "FORM-V51-006"
      ],
      "source_ids": [
        "SRC-AUS-001",
        "SRC-AUS-002",
        "SRC-AUS-003"
      ],
      "data_assets": [
        "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/data/australia_roads_v13_updated.csv"
      ]
    },
    {
      "claim_key": "win-068-eclipse-ensemble",
      "visible_label": "WIN-068",
      "status": "confirmed",
      "claim_class": "supportive_nonunique",
      "domain": "geomagnetic",
      "title": "Eclipse Magnetic Effect Statistical Confirmation",
      "summary": "Peer-reviewed ensemble analysis across 39 eclipses, 207 manifestations, and 100 observatories shows a systematic magnetic response centered on eclipse geometry.",
      "why_it_matters": "It establishes that an eclipse-linked magnetic signal exists at scale before the more discriminating gravity-coupling test.",
      "current_best_entry": "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/wins.html#win-068",
      "supporting_pages": [
        "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/predictions.html#pred-eclipse-tier3"
      ],
      "formula_ids": [
        "FORM-V51-005"
      ],
      "source_ids": [
        "SRC-ECL-001",
        "SRC-INTERMAGNET-001"
      ],
      "honest_caveat": "The site explicitly notes that ionospheric Sq disruption is a competing globe-compatible mechanism for Tier 1 magnetic effects."
    },
    {
      "claim_key": "win-058-bedrock-kappa",
      "visible_label": "WIN-058",
      "status": "pending_independent_verification",
      "claim_class": "pending_contested",
      "domain": "gravity_magnetic_coupling",
      "title": "The 1.67 Bedrock Induction Ratio",
      "summary": "The claimed 1.67 nT per microGal coupling is now carried as pending because the current support depends on an internal forensic reconstruction not yet independently reproduced from raw L1A access.",
      "why_it_matters": "This is the critical coupling constant behind the Tier 3 eclipse falsifier, so the registry now treats it more carefully instead of overclaiming it.",
      "current_best_entry": "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/wins.html#win-058-kappa",
      "supporting_pages": [
        "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/predictions.html#pred-eclipse-tier3"
      ],
      "formula_ids": [
        "FORM-V51-004"
      ],
      "source_ids": [
        "SRC-IGETS-001",
        "SRC-INTERNAL-001"
      ],
      "honest_caveat": "Independent raw-data reproduction or a successful August 12 2026 Tier 3 result is still required."
    },
    {
      "claim_key": "win-058-theta-rule",
      "visible_label": "WIN-058",
      "status": "confirmed",
      "claim_class": "retrospective_structural",
      "domain": "geometry_coordinates",
      "title": "Theta Equals Minus East Longitude",
      "summary": "Unified angular coordinate rule for the dome frame: theta equals the negation of east longitude.",
      "current_best_entry": "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/wins.html#win-058",
      "supporting_pages": [
        "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/coordinates.html"
      ],
      "honest_caveat": "This claim is unrelated to the bedrock kappa coupling even though they share the visible WIN-058 label."
    },
    {
      "claim_key": "win-011-mohe-contact-phase",
      "visible_label": "WIN-011",
      "status": "confirmed_mechanism_contested",
      "claim_class": "pending_contested",
      "domain": "eclipse_gravity",
      "title": "Mohe 1997 Eclipse Gravity Anomaly",
      "summary": "The site now preserves both the contact-phase timing argument and the strongest conventional critiques: shielding is ruled out, and thermal tilt is not fully closed for the LaCoste-Romberg instrument.",
      "why_it_matters": "This is the historical timing anchor for the Tier 3 contact-phase protocol.",
      "current_best_entry": "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/wins.html",
      "supporting_pages": [
        "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/predictions.html#pred-eclipse-tier3"
      ],
      "formula_ids": [
        "FORM-V51-004"
      ],
      "source_ids": [
        "SRC-ECL-002",
        "SRC-ECL-003"
      ]
    },
    {
      "claim_key": "win-056-solar-elevation",
      "visible_label": "WIN-056",
      "status": "confirmed",
      "claim_class": "retrospective_structural",
      "domain": "solar_geometry",
      "title": "Solar Elevation Formula Emerges from H(r)",
      "summary": "Solar elevation is presented as a zero-free-parameter consequence of the H(r) structure and the same lambda_g scale reused elsewhere in the site.",
      "why_it_matters": "It is the cleanest expression of the single-constant unification claim outside the magnetic domain.",
      "current_best_entry": "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/wins.html",
      "supporting_pages": [
        "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/model.html"
      ],
      "formula_ids": [
        "FORM-V51-001"
      ],
      "source_ids": [
        "SRC-INTERNAL-001"
      ]
    },
    {
      "claim_key": "win-062-tesla-wave-speed",
      "visible_label": "WIN-062",
      "status": "confirmed",
      "claim_class": "retrospective_structural",
      "domain": "resonance",
      "title": "Tesla Longitudinal Wave Speed = 1.574c",
      "summary": "Tesla's 0.08484 s period is mapped to the ECM diameter to derive a 1.574c one-way longitudinal mode constant.",
      "why_it_matters": "This is one of the site's clearest side-by-side derivation arguments and is repeatedly cited as a high-value evidence item.",
      "current_best_entry": "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/wins.html#win-062",
      "supporting_pages": [
        "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/wins.html#win-062-constant"
      ],
      "source_ids": [
        "SRC-TESLA-001",
        "SRC-INTERNAL-001"
      ]
    },
    {
      "claim_key": "pred-eclipse-tier3",
      "visible_label": "PRED-ECLIPSE-TIER3",
      "status": "prospective",
      "claim_class": "prospective_confirmed",
      "domain": "future_falsifier",
      "title": "SG Contact-Phase Kappa Test",
      "summary": "Prospective August 12 2026 three-tier eclipse protocol with explicit success criteria and explicit falsification criteria.",
      "why_it_matters": "This is the strongest future discriminator currently on the live site because a clean quiet-day null is explicitly counted as a model failure.",
      "current_best_entry": "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/predictions.html#pred-eclipse-tier3",
      "formula_ids": [
        "FORM-V51-004",
        "FORM-V51-005"
      ],
      "source_ids": [
        "SRC-ECL-001",
        "SRC-ECL-002",
        "SRC-IGETS-001",
        "SRC-INTERMAGNET-001"
      ]
    },
    {
      "claim_key": "pred-solar-009",
      "visible_label": "PRED-SOLAR-009",
      "status": "open_favors_globe",
      "claim_class": "open_refinement",
      "domain": "open_refinement",
      "title": "Solar Angular Diameter Seasonal Direction",
      "summary": "The live site openly states that the observed seasonal direction currently favors the globe and remains unresolved in ECM's favor.",
      "why_it_matters": "This is the cleanest openly adverse result preserved in the current registry.",
      "current_best_entry": "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/predictions.html#pred-solar-009",
      "supporting_pages": [
        "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/model.html"
      ],
      "source_ids": [
        "SRC-INTERNAL-001"
      ]
    }
  ]
}
