{
  "version": "V51.1",
  "last_updated": "2026-04-17",
  "purpose": "Canonical current overview for AI agents consuming the live site. This file normalizes the current state, strongest entry points, and the main integrity rules needed to read the registry correctly without overstating the methodology.",
  "current_state": {
    "confirmed_display": 69,
    "refined_display": 4,
    "prospective_display": 10,
    "accuracy_display_pct": 94.5,
    "geometry": "Closed Toroidal Ovoid with V13 coordinate topology and Australia validation integrated",
    "single_scale_length_km": 8619,
    "top_current_evidence_path": "Australia scaffold validation plus official datum admissions"
  },
  "registry_semantics": {
    "accuracy_display_pct_meaning": "Display-level registry ratio shown on the public site.",
    "accuracy_display_pct_limit": "Not a substitute for claim-by-claim prospective scoring.",
    "timestamp_rule": "OpenTimestamps proves a snapshot existed by a time; claim-level prospectivity must still be checked from the wording and data-release timing."
  },
  "context_rule": "Treat context.html as archival history; use ai_manifest.json, methodology.json, and review-response.html for the current AI-facing read path.",
  "canonical_priority": [
    {
      "rank": 1,
      "surface": "AI manifest",
      "url": "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/ai_manifest.json",
      "reason": "Fast current-state map with read order, formulas, caveats, and raw asset links."
    },
    {
      "rank": 2,
      "surface": "Methodology",
      "url": "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/api/current/methodology.json",
      "reason": "Claim taxonomy, timestamp scope, and the open problems an honest audit must preserve."
    },
    {
      "rank": 3,
      "surface": "Review response",
      "url": "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/review-response.html",
      "reason": "Current anti-strawman layer clarifying how to read archival notes, duplicate labels, and scoped caveats."
    },
    {
      "rank": 4,
      "surface": "Claim index",
      "url": "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/api/current/claim_index.json",
      "reason": "Stable machine identifiers for the strongest current claims."
    },
    {
      "rank": 5,
      "surface": "Wins registry",
      "url": "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/wins.html",
      "reason": "Canonical prose registry for confirmed items and status labeling."
    },
    {
      "rank": 6,
      "surface": "Coordinates",
      "url": "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/coordinates.html",
      "reason": "Best current southern-geometry evidence path and Australia scaffold details."
    },
    {
      "rank": 7,
      "surface": "Predictions",
      "url": "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/predictions.html",
      "reason": "Prospective registry, Tier 3 falsifier, and open refinements."
    }
  ],
  "strongest_evidence_path": [
    "win-069-australia-scaffold",
    "win-068-eclipse-ensemble",
    "win-056-solar-elevation",
    "win-062-tesla-wave-speed",
    "pred-eclipse-tier3"
  ],
  "honest_caveats": [
    {
      "claim_key": "win-058-bedrock-kappa",
      "status": "pending_independent_verification",
      "detail": "The claimed 1.67 nT per microGal coupling is not treated as fully closed. Independent raw L1A reproduction or the August 12 2026 Tier 3 result is still required."
    },
    {
      "claim_key": "win-013-sg-null",
      "status": "non_discriminating",
      "detail": "The 1999 and 2009 SG eclipse nulls are logged as consistent with both models rather than as decisive wins."
    },
    {
      "claim_key": "pred-solar-009",
      "status": "open_favors_globe",
      "detail": "The observed seasonal direction of solar angular diameter still favors the globe direction and remains openly unresolved."
    }
  ],
  "critical_open_problems": [
    "A full eclipse ray-trace under the published refraction field is not yet on the site.",
    "The κ coupling claim still needs independent raw-data closure or a successful Tier 3 result.",
    "Schumann/Tesla cavity-mode unification remains supportive rather than fully closed.",
    "Australia is the current strongest southern anchor; northern-only error metrics should not be cited globally."
  ],
  "machine_endpoints": [
    "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/api/current/methodology.json",
    "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/api/current/claim_index.json",
    "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/api/current/evidence_graph.json",
    "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/api/current/source_registry.json",
    "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/api/current/formula_runtime.json",
    "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/api/current/page_map.json"
  ],
  "raw_assets": [
    "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/data/status_history.json",
    "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/data/daily_review.json",
    "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/data/prediction_hashes.json",
    "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/data/live_data.json",
    "https://john09289.github.io/predictions/data/australia_roads_v13_updated.csv"
  ],
  "ambiguities": [
    {
      "visible_label": "WIN-058",
      "issue": "The visible prose registry uses WIN-058 for two different claims.",
      "use_instead": [
        "win-058-bedrock-kappa",
        "win-058-theta-rule"
      ]
    },
    {
      "visible_label": "WIN-062",
      "issue": "The visible prose registry contains two presentations of the Tesla 1.574c claim.",
      "use_instead": [
        "win-062-tesla-wave-speed"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "agent_rules": [
    "Preserve the site's own honest caveats; the current evidence case is strongest when those caveats remain attached.",
    "Load methodology.json before treating a registry item as a pure forecast.",
    "Use review-response.html before relying on archival prompt wording or older page slogans.",
    "Prefer the docs and docs/api surfaces over the historical root api/master.json snapshot.",
    "When you need a stable identifier, use claim_key rather than visible label."
  ]
}